Review packet
GUARDIAN STAR
An indications-and-warning analyst, opened for professional critique.
Not a government product
Working I&W loop
This packet is a working indications-and-warning analyst: the standing orders, the board it watches, a real daily brief, and the machinery that produced it. It is not a product demo. It is not a government brief. It is a private I&W loop, run daily, now opened so working analysts can tell us what is wrong with it.
What we want: critique of the analytic system. The site chrome is irrelevant. If a rule would not survive contact with your shop, say so. If a warning is misframed, say so. If the board is blind to something that should be on it, say so.
What this is not: a classified program, a finished methodology paper, or a request to adopt the stack. Sources in the sample brief are open. One standing feed is a paid Watchfloor product; its judgments are attributed to named initials and treated as the principal’s. That hierarchy is itself in scope for critique.
Read in this order if time is short: the 23 September brief, the tradecraft (especially evidence, estimative language, and the silence rule), the methodology (which model does which job), then the board tables. The rest is for when a rule or a rung bothers you.
- 01Sample brief — 23 September 2026
The period product, plus why W7 is in Warnings and W2 is not. PDF for the shareable form.
- 02Tradecraft
SOUL.md: evidence, impartiality, language, estimative ladder, brief format. Standing orders on tagging, remixes, deniable sabotage, voice.
- 03Methodology
Human, model, files. Which AI component does which job. Cadence. What is not a model job.
- 04The board
Seven warnings, fourteen watches, the capability file, one scored forecast. Full text behind the tables.
- 05How it runs
Observation → indicator → capability → rung → brief. What silence means. How a miss is supposed to hurt.
- 06The agent
Isolated profile, files of record, model, judgment hierarchy. What the files already admit they do not know.
- 07Feedback
Questions we actually want answered. Writes a markdown note you can send back.